A state-space model for ecological count data
Estimating species interactions and environmental drivers from count data.
My research is about ecological change: what drives it, how fast it happens, and how confidently we can detect it. That has taken me from fossil pollen records spanning millennia to continental-scale simulations of boreal forests under future climates.
If you can’t access any of the full articles, get in touch and I’ll send you a copy. The same record with citation counts is on Google Scholar and ORCID, and everything I write is open on GitHub.
Longer, plain-language write-ups of selected papers: what the question was, and what we found.
2026 · Asena, Q., Williams, J., Johnson, J., Shuman, B., Stefanova, V., Ives, A. Statistical analyses of ecological multinomial time series to identify environmental drivers and biotic interactions. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. Read the summary → Statistical methods Palaeoecology State-space modelling
2026 · Asena, Q., Perry, G.L., Wilmshurst, J. Information loss in palaeoecological data from process and observer error. Climate of the Past. Read the summary → Statistical methods Palaeoecology Proxy system modelling
2025 · Lee, F., Bellvé, A.M., Alena, H., Asena, Q., Perry, G.L. Using population viability analysis and fossil records to inform the conservation of pateke (Anas chlorotis). New Zealand Journal of Ecology. Conservation Palaeoecology Population modelling
2024 · Asena, Q., Perry, G.L., Wilmshurst, J. Is the past recoverable from the data? Pseudoproxy modelling of uncertainties in palaeoecological data. The Holocene. Read the summary → Statistical methods Palaeoecology Proxy system modelling
2024 · Parsons, M., Asena, Q., Johnson, D., Nalau, J. A Bibliometric Review and Topic Analysis of Climate Justice Literature: Mapping Trends, Voices, and the Way Forward. Climate Risk Management. Code repository · Read the summary → Climate & society Topic modelling
2019 · Courtney-Mustaphi, C.J., Brahney, J., Aquino-López, M.A., Goring, S., Orton, K., Noronha, A., Czaplewski, J., Asena, Q., Paton, S. Guidelines for Reporting and Archiving 210Pb Sediment Chronologies to Improve Fidelity and Extend Data Lifecycle. Quaternary Geochronology. Palaeoecology Data curation Radiometric dating Reproducibility
2019 · Heinemeyer, A., Burn, W.L., Asena, Q., Jones, A., Ashby, M. Response to comment on Peatland carbon stocks and burn history. GEO: Geography and Environment. Fire & peatlands Palaeoecology
2018 · Heinemeyer, A., Asena, Q., Burn, W.L., Jones, A. Peatland carbon stocks and burn history: Blanket bog peat core evidence highlights charcoal impacts on peat physical properties and long-term carbon storage. GEO: Geography and Environment. Fire & peatlands Palaeoecology
2018 · Simpkins, C.E., Lee, F., Powers, B.F., Anderson, S., Asena, Q., Brock, J.M.R., Perry, G.L. Population viability analyses in New Zealand: a review. New Zealand Journal of Ecology. Conservation Population modelling
2018 · Hamilton, R., Brussel, T., Asena, Q., Bruel, R., Marcisz, K., Słowiński, M., Morris, J. Assessing the links between resilience, disturbance, and functional traits in paleoecological datasets. Past Global Changes Magazine 26(2), 87. Palaeoecology Traits Resilience